Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen

Gold Price Drops Over 3.6% in 2 Days


The price of gold has fallen by more than 3.6% over 2 days, as indicated by today's XAU/USD chart. The day before yesterday, at the opening of the daily candle, the price of gold was $2421 per ounce, and yesterday at the close it was $2331.

This can be explained by market participants expecting higher Federal Reserve interest rates for a longer period. However, although gold is a hedge against inflation, it has two drawbacks:
→ It does not inherently generate income;
→ The gold market may be overvalued ? after all, a historical peak was reached on May 20th.

Therefore, investors are increasingly paying attention to bonds ? they also allow hedging against inflation, while their yields are rising.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

USD/JPY Analysis: The Market is Indecisive Near Its Peak Since May 1


As the USD/JPY chart shows today:

→ The price is in an upward trend (indicated by the blue channel) that has been relevant since the beginning of 2024.

→ On Thursday, May 23, the exchange rate nearly reached 157.2 yen per US dollar, surpassing the peak of May 14.

→ Following this, the market began to stabilise ? indicated by the Bollinger Bands' width showing low volatility, which can be interpreted as a sign of market equilibrium or indecision among participants.



TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

WTI Crude Oil Price Shows Bullish Trend Ahead of OPEC Meeting


As the chart indicates, on Monday, the price of WTI crude oil rose by approximately 1%.

Reuters reports that the bullish sentiment is driven by:
→ the upcoming OPEC+ meeting scheduled for 2 June;
→ expectations of high fuel demand with the start of the summer driving season and holiday season in the US.

Conducting a technical analysis of WTI crude oil on 10 May, we drew an ascending channel in blue and suggested a scenario of continued price growth within this channel.

Since then:
→ the price formed a low on 15 May at the level of 76.35, but quickly recovered from it. Thus, the bears' attempt to break the low of 8 May at the level of 76.68 quickly failed. In other words, there was a false breakout of the 8 May low.
→ A similar pattern occurred on 24 May ? the price dropped below the 15 May low of 76.35, but quickly recovered.

Two false bearish breakouts are a bullish sign. And the strong behaviour of WTI crude oil prices on Monday confirms this.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

When the Chips Are Up! NVIDIA's Stratospheric Market Cap


NVIDIA is a veritable Goliath among the highly competitive realms of Silicon Valley's technological mainstays.

Its market capitalisation is now so vast that it is larger than Meta (Facebook), Tesla, Netflix, AMD, Intel, and IBM combined.

That is a remarkable feat when considering that NVIDIA's bread and butter core business activity for many years was not software, it was hardware, and hardware in almost every other area of the computer technology business is almost obsolete as we live in a world of hosting and cloud-based internet services.

NVIDIA's high-quality graphics cards have for many years been the staple ingredient within machines built for specialist purposes such as gaming or professional digital currency mining. However times change and NVIDIA has angled itself firmly toward being the hardware manufacturer to handle AI, boosting its value tremendously.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

The Dollar Resumes Growth After a Corrective Pullback


Last week, there were several local downward trends in dollar pairs. For instance, the pound/dollar pair strengthened to 1.2800, euro/dollar buyers almost updated the recent high at 1.0895, and the usd/jpy pair remained below the crucial resistance at 157.00 for several days. However, the ?dollar bears? couldn?t maintain their advantage, and by yesterday, sharp pullbacks and the formation of bullish combinations in usd pairs were observed.

So, what is the main reason for the return of dollar buyers to the market?

• The S&P/CS Composite-20 (USA) housing price composite index, excluding seasonal adjustments, was higher than forecasted at 7.4% versus 7.3%.
• The US Consumer Confidence Index from CB rose to 102.0 against expectations of 96.0.
• The probability of an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve decreased to 51%, from 65% a week ago.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

GBP/JPY at Highest Level in Over 15 Years


As shown by today's GBP/JPY chart, the exchange rate has not only surpassed the psychological level of 200 yen per pound but has also exceeded the peak of 29 April 2024. The market is now experiencing prices last seen in 2008.

The main driver of the pound?s strength against the yen is the difference in monetary policies enacted by the central banks. While the Bank of England maintains a rate of 5.5%, in Japan it is 0.10% (having been kept unchanged at -0.10% from January 2016 until March 2024 ? over 8 years).

Can the GBP/JPY rate go even higher? Fundamentally, if the imbalance in interest rates persists, it creates conditions for a continued rally.

According to Business Recorder, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) will act cautiously within its inflation targeting framework. BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda noted that some issues are "exceptionally challenging" for Japan after many years of ultra-loose monetary policy.

?The absence of significant interest rate movements poses a considerable obstacle in assessing the economy?s response to changes in interest rates,? he said.



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Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

EUR/USD Exchange Rate Has Fallen Below 1.08 Level


As the EUR/USD chart today shows, yesterday the rate dropped by 0.46% ? the most significant strengthening of the US dollar against the euro in one day this month. Moreover, the rate fell below the psychological mark of 1.08 euros per dollar (in the first half of May, it served as resistance).

Yesterday's movement was influenced by:

→ news of rising inflation in Germany. As reported by Think.ING, inflation reached 2.4% year-on-year, up from 2.2% in April ? highlighting uncertainty and the resilience of inflation;

→ the rise of the US dollar, driven by falling Treasury bonds, which increased the appeal of the American currency due to both higher yields in the US and demand for safe-haven assets.

Analysing the chart on 23 May in the article "EUR/USD Price Forms Bullish Reversal," we:

→ drew an ascending channel (shown in blue);

→ highlighted the importance of resistance at the 1.0875 level.



TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Market Analysis: GBP/USD Dips While USD/CAD Eyes More Gains


GBP/USD is attempting a recovery wave from 1.2680. USD/CAD is rising and might aim for a move above the 1.3690 resistance zone.

Important Takeaways for GBP/USD and USD/CAD Analysis Today

• The British Pound started a fresh decline from the 1.2800 resistance zone.
• There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 1.2740 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen.
• USD/CAD is showing positive signs above the 1.3660 support zone.
• There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance near 1.3690 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis


On the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh decline from the 1.2800 zone after a decent increase, as mentioned in the previous analysis. The British Pound traded below the 1.2740 support to again move into a short-term bearish zone against the US Dollar.

The pair even traded below 1.2710 and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the bulls appeared near the 1.2680 level. A low was formed near 1.2680 and the pair is now attempting a short-term recovery wave.

There was a fresh upside above the 1.2710 level. The pair climbed above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.2800 swing high to the 1.2680 low.

Immediate resistance on the upside is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.2800 swing high to the 1.2680 low at 1.2740 and the 50-hour simple moving average. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 1.2740.

The first major resistance on the GBP/USD chart is near the 1.2770 level. A close above the 1.2770 resistance might spark a decent increase. The next major resistance is near the 1.2800 level. Any more gains could lead the pair toward the 1.2880 resistance in the near term.

Initial support sits near 1.2710. The next major support sits at 1.2680, below which there is a risk of another sharp decline. In the stated case, the pair could drop toward 1.2620.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.