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GBP/USD

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GBPUSD moved down on Wednesday to the level of 1.3166 amid high market participants' interest in the US currency amid pessimism in the global economy and Brexit.

Currently traders are waiting for other directives after yesterday's rise as British lawmaker Jacob Rees-Mogg expressed support for British Prime Minister Theresa May's plan on Twitter.

In addition, traders are also looking forward to the results of a trade survey realized by the British CBI followed by US trade figures in January. CBI data is expected to be a positive catalyst for the movement of GBPUSD with an estimated growth of 5% from the previous 0%, while US trade data is expected to be $ -57.0 billion from $ -59.8 billion.
#46 - March 27, 2019, 08:56:53 AM

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the pound can get a double boost: The hardline Brexit, indicative of Jacob Rees-Mogg, he may be willing to support the agreement of Theresa May could increase demand for the currency. On the other side of the exchange rate, the Fed has recently turned dovish drastically - compounded by Stephen Moore, President Donald Trump's choice for an open Fed board chair, told the New York Times that the Fed must immediately cut fifty basis points of interest rates - after the inversion of the first real yield curve since 2007, it can reduce the popularity of the dollar.

Now that the British parliament has taken over Brexit, the conflict with Theresa May was eliminated, potentially bringing uncertainty to market stability, triggering a pound rally at least strong enough to reexamine the psychological level of 1.4000.
#47 - March 28, 2019, 01:02:56 AM

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All proposals submitted by Prime Minister Theresa May this morning were found rejected by the British Parliament. Brexit will still be a burden and a negative sentiment for the movement of GBPUSD. Coupled with the issue that threatens May's position as Prime Minister.

Had touched the support of 1.3150, GBPUSD was corrected and moved up to the level of 1.3190 in early trading today. But as long as prices are still consistently moving below 1.3230, GBPUSD is still in a tendency to go down. If you are able to break consistently below 1.3150, the next support is targeting 1.3125.

Support: 1.3100 - 1.3040
Resistance: 1.3230 - 1.3300
#48 - March 28, 2019, 05:44:50 AM

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The UK final quarter gross domestic product (GDP) data for the fourth quarter of last year shows a number that matches estimates and is also the same as the initial GDP data.

During the fourth quarter UK GDP showed that the UK economy grew 0.2% quarterly, the same as seen in the first data, and according to consensus estimates.

While on an annual basis, the UK economy grew 1.4 percent in the fourth quarter, better than expectations of 1.3 percent and up from a previous reading of 1.3 percent.

Separately, UK total investment data fell 0.9 percent quarterly in the fourth quarter on an annual basis (year on year), down 2.5 percent for the same period. Both figures exceed consensus estimates.

At present the UK economy is facing a complicated problem, namely Brexit uncertainty. MPs will hold a vote later tonight, with control over the fate of Brexit currently in the hands of parliament.
#49 - March 29, 2019, 11:31:10 AM

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The pound moved lower against the euro on Friday ahead of a UK vote on Britain's departure from the European Union.

The British House of Representatives is set to vote once again on Prime Minister Theresa May's two-time withdrawal agreement last Friday, but the initiative is likely to fail, lack of support from the Northern Irish party believed by the May Conservatives, and difficult Brexiteers own line Conservative.

The most likely outcome of the failed bill is that May will ask for a longer extension of Brexit on April 12 from the European Union, accepting that this means taking part in the EU parliamentary elections in May. It is not clear that there is needed unanimous support between the EU government for the extension, so 'Hard Brexit' on April 12 remains the default scenario.
#50 - March 31, 2019, 08:44:38 AM

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For the third time, the Brexit scenario proposed by Prime Minister Theresa May was rejected by Parliament yesterday. This is potentially still a pressure for GBPUSD. At 3:30 a.m. WIB, the UK manufacturing index data will be released which could potentially add to the driving sentiment for GBPUSD today. Expectations at number 51.2 are lower than before 52.0.

The immediate resistance at 1.3055 has the potential to become a GBPUSD correction area after yesterday's weakness. But as long as the price is still moving below 1.3080, the downside potential will target the closest support at 1.2990.

Support: 1.2990 - 1.2950 - 1.2930
Resistance: 1.3055 - 1.3080 - 1.3155
#51 - April 01, 2019, 09:19:06 AM

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MANUFACTURING INDEX OF UK RISE TO 13 MONTH HIGH LEVEL APPROACHING BREXIT


The level of activity in the UK manufacturing sector surged to a 13 month high last month amid rising reserves ahead of Brexit which reached a new survey record.

Research firm IHS Markit said that the manufacturing index rose to 55.1 in March, outpacing economist estimates for a decline to 51.2. That was the strongest level in 13 months.

IHS Director Markit .Rob Dobson, said that manufacturer reported an increase in business activity in March as the company increased their preparations for potential Brexit-related disruptions.
#52 - April 01, 2019, 11:20:27 AM

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EU DOES NOT GIVE THE TRANSITION BREXIT PERIOD IF THE UK DOES NOT AGREE TO AGREEMENT


The European Union reaffirmed the potential of Brexit without an agreement getting bigger after the British Parliament rejected the Prime Minister's draft Brexit agreement for the third time in last night's vote.

Head of the European Union (EU) Brexit Negotiator Michel Barnier said that Brexit without an agreement would be the responsibility of Britain.

The EU stressed that there would be no renegotiation of the Brexit agreement during the Brexit extension until April 12, or any negotiations about future relations. Britain will also not get a transition period after Brexit unless it approves the Brexit agreement.

If there is no agreement, the EU will still demand that the UK respect its obligations on citizens' rights, financial services, and the Irish border.

On Monday night the British Parliament or the House of Commons rejected all alternative options the Brexit agreement offered by the prime minister.

Four rejected options included calls on the government to negotiate a permanent customs union, Britain joined the European Free Trade Association and the European Economic Region (Common Market 2.0).

Brexit Minister Steve Barclay indicated the May PM government could hold a Brexit vote for the fourth time. PM May has also implied this idea before, saying that, "we need an alternative route to move forward."

While in Brussels, the EU has called for an emergency meeting on April 10. If Brexit ends without an agreement two days later, then the EU's biggest trade relations in the European continent are cut off.
#53 - April 02, 2019, 08:40:08 AM

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UK CONSTRUCTION INDEX BACK IN THE MARCH MONTH


The level of activity in the UK construction sector contracted for the second month running in March amid Brexit uncertainty raising doubts.

Research firm IHS Markit said that the construction index rose to the level of 49.7 in March, this being the second consecutive contraction after in February it fell to an 11-month low.

In the index, a reading above level 50 indicates expansion, for below indicates contraction.

IHS economist Joe Hayes noted that the data sparked fears that recent weakness in the UK construction sector may not only be temporary, but is running regularly. Uncertainty regarding Brexit still results in doubts, ultimately reducing the order volume.

Uncertainty over the outcome of the departure of Britain from the European Union has had a different impact on business activities.

The Marks IHS report released on Monday showed that manufacturing activity jumped to a 13-month high in March due to hoarding ahead of the Brexit date.
#54 - April 02, 2019, 09:39:40 AM

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Jonathan White of KPMG also warned that the UK construction sector would be sluggish as long as the issue of brexit uncertainty was not resolved. He said, "Plans for investment in the construction sector continue to experience delays, especially in commercial projects, and until brexit uncertainty is resolved, we do not expect orders to increase. The story will be the same for months to come, while we wait for clarity that helps make business decisions
#55 - April 02, 2019, 10:24:32 AM

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The UK SECTOR PMI HAS THE FIRST CONTRACT SINCE JULY 2016


UK main service sector activity declined and contracted in March for the first time since July 2016, with activity affected by the Brexit chaos and horizontal economic growth, a leading survey showed on Wednesday.

The purchasing manager's index (PMI) for the service sector fell from 51.3 in February to 48.9 in March, according to IHS Markit, who collected data. A number below 50 indicates contraction or no expansion.

Poor data on business activity in the UK is the second time in two days after the construction sector PMI released Tuesday also showed contraction.

While the manufacturing PMI which was also released yesterday was still strong, even surpassing the February figure and the median estimate of economists.
#56 - April 03, 2019, 11:23:06 AM

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DISCUSSION OF BREXIT PM MAY AND CORBYN IS NOT LIMITED ON DEADLINE TIME


The British government's talks with Labor opposition parties, which focus on making the Brexit agreement that can be submitted to the European Union, have no deadline, Prime Minister Theresa May's spokesman said on Friday.


"The prime minister stated that he wanted this conversation to take place with a sense of urgency, I think you have seen so far but I don't think the PM has set a deadline for when the talks should end. What we clearly focus on is getting positive results," said the Prime Minister's spokesman that.

The process of finding a proposal for a compromise with the Labor Party was underway but talks on Friday would be made between individual members of the negotiating team, rather than the full meeting that had taken place in the previous days, he said.

After three times the agreement with the European Union was rejected by parliament, finally on Wednesday, Theresa May finally decided to offer talks with opposition leader Jeremy Corbyn to ensure regular and negotiated departures from the European Union. The Labor Party, the opposition so far has been hard against the contents of the agreement.

Corbyn's position is that permanent customs union with the EU is a prerequisite for Brexit, which represents the best guarantee that trade with the EU will continue without friction. May and his party, the conservative party rejected Corbyn's stand and considered this permanent customs negating the independence of British trade policy, the main reason Britain wanted to leave the European Union.
#57 - April 05, 2019, 01:11:51 PM

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GBPUSD is very reacted to brexit news..
#58 - April 08, 2019, 10:24:21 AM

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WORSE PARTIES AND CONSERVATIVES CONTINUE BREXIT TALKING TODAY


Brexit talks between teams led by Prime Minister Theresa May as leader of the Conservative Party and Labor opposition leader Jeremy Corbyn are scheduled to continue on Monday despite a Labor statement last Friday that the Conservative government has not offered to compromise on one of its main problems .]

With waning optimism, the focus turned to the European Council's emergency Brexit summit on Wednesday. European Union leaders indicated that it would not give a longer extension of Brexit time as requested by PM May unless accompanied by detailed plans, but a longer extension could eventually push the Conservative Brexiteers to overstep.

With the remaining time to extend until April 12, England will likely leave without agreement on Friday, although only a few in the British media expect such results
#59 - April 08, 2019, 11:08:38 AM

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GDP OF ENGLAND SLOWS ON FEBRUARY, ACCORDING TO CONCESSUS


The UK's economic growth rate slowed according to forecasts in February, while the market was awaiting a decision to further extend the deadline for the UK to exit the European Union.

Britain's gross domestic product (GDP) only grew 0.2% in February, reported by the British statistics bureau on Wednesday, slowing from the expansion of 0.5% seen in January but in accordance with the consensus.

Rob Kent-Smith, leader of the statistics bureau said that the service sector is backing the economy, with continued good performance in IT. The manufacturing sector also continued to recover after weakening late last year with the pharmaceutical, chemical and alcohol industries that performed well in recent months.

In a separate report, manufacturing production grew 0.9% in February, while industrial production rose 0.6%.

With two days to the official deadline for the departure of Britain from the European Union, a broad extension of the deadline is expected to be reached at an emergency EU meeting on Wednesday night.
#60 - April 10, 2019, 12:37:01 PM

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