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Technical Overview of EUR/USD, USD/CAD and USD/CHF Currency Pairs
 
EUR USD
Daily Forex News  in General Forex Discussion_cbwro-hvu6m
 The EUR traded lower against the USD and closed at 1.1405.

 
Despite macroeconomic data released this Tuesday favored an advance in EUR/USD the pair ends the day with losses at pre-FOMC levels. 1.1315 at sight should the 1.1400 figure gives up.
 
The Energy Information Administration's (EIA) Crude Oil Stocks Change Indicator is published weekly. It measures the number of barrels of commercial crude oil held by US companies. It is one of the indicators affecting world oil prices.
 
Growing crude oil stocks indicate a weaker demand for oil and can have a negative impact on the oil barrel price.
 
According to the Analysis, The pair is expected to find support at 1.13907, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.13767. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.14293, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.14539.
 
Previous Day range was 38.6 and Current Day Range is 13.
 

 USD CAD

Daily Forex News  in General Forex Discussion_cbz9f-abmad
 The USD traded higher against the CAD and closed at 1.1325.

 
The USD/CAD pair trades little changed around 1.3130 on early Wednesday. The pair has strong resistance confluence near 1.3205-1.3210 that includes 100-day simple moving average (SMA) and a month old descending trend-line.
 
Canada Ivey Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) shows economic activity in the past month calculated by the Ivey School of Business.
 
The indicator is calculated based on a survey of purchasing managers in the private and public sector companies. The survey involves representatives of 175 companies selected in view of their field of activity and geographical location. Respondents answer questions about whether purchases, employment, supplies and prices in their sector have become better, worse or has not changed over the reported month.
 
Survey results are seasonally adjusted.
 
A reading above 50 indicates that the economic activity is expanding, a reading below 50 suggests the economy is in contraction. The index growth can have a positive effect on CAD quotes.
 
The pair is expected to find support at 1.31002, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.30757. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.31511, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.31755.
 
USD CAD previous Day range was 50.9 and Current Day Range is 26.1.
 
USD CHF
Daily Forex News  in General Forex Discussion_cb9qg-a5z2g
 The USD traded bit higher against CHF and closed at 0.9995.

 
US Dollar Index struggles to break above 96.
10-year T-bond yield erases gains to weigh on the greenback.
Coming up: ISM and Markit non-manufacturing PMI data from the U.S.
 
According to the analysis, pair is expected to find support at 0.99706, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.99464. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.00198, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.00448.
 
USD CHF previous day range was 49.2 and current day range is 16.9.
#46 - February 06, 2019, 07:19:48 AM

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Daily Forex News  in General Forex Discussion_New


This is today's high impact news



#47 - February 06, 2019, 10:39:03 PM

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Technical Overview of GBP/USD, AUD/USD and NZD/USD Currency Pairs
 
GBP USD

 The GBP traded lower against the USD and closed at 1.2927.

 
Bank of England Interest Rate Decision is taken by monetary policy committee members and is published two weeks after the meeting.
 
The interest rate decision is one of the most important events. Interest rate growth is seen as positive for the sterling.
 
According to the Analysis, The pair is expected to find support at 1.29085, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.28900. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.29614, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.29958.
 
Previous Day range was 52.9 and Current Day Range is 11.8.
 

 AUD USD


 The AUD traded higher against the USD and closed at 0.7104.

 
FED Chair Speech affects USD depending on the speech rhetoric. If the speech is seen as an intention to raise the rates at the next FOMC meeting, this has a positive impact on USD and vice versa.
 
The FED Chair's statements have the greatest impact on the market compared to other members of the FED Board of Governors.
 
The pair is expected to find support at 0.70551, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.70059. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.71994, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.72945.
 
AUD USD previous Day range was 144.3 and Current Day Range is 16.6.
 
NZD USD

 The NZD traded bit lower against USD and closed at 0.6774.

 
New Zealand Employment Change q/q shows the change in the number of citizens officially employed in New Zealand resident companies in the given quarter compared to the previous one. Employment growth is a sign of a stronger labor market and can be seen as positive for the New Zealand dollar quotes.
According to the analysis, pair is expected to find support at 0.67251, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.66760. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.68640, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.69538.
 
NZD USD previous day range was 138.9 and current day range is 33.5.
#48 - February 07, 2019, 06:28:52 AM

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EUR / USD: Focusing on 200-week MA support, strongest bias in 7.5 weeks

The EUR / USD pair is currently trading at 1.1342 - not far from the 200-week moving average, currently at 1.1326.


The long-term moving averge has captured the lowest on a weekly basis closing several times in the past six months. So, acceptance below the main support will imply a resumption of the sell-off from 2018 highs above 1.25 and can result in a decline to 1.10 psychological support.



More importantly, the market began to worry that the waning Eurozone economic fortune could force the European Central Bank (ECB) to abolish its tightening plan. As a result, the risky EUR closed below the 200-week MA today.



Validating a bearish case is an increase in demand for EUR put options (bearish bets). One-month 25 delta risk reversals currently traded with support for puts at -0,637; lowest level since December 18. A negative number indicates the put options value is more than the value of call options. Simply put, investors add bets to positions for a deeper decline in the common currency.



Overall, the EUR / USD looks ready for a bearish weekly close. A bearish case can weaken if German export data is released at 07: 00GMT / 14: 00WIB, exceeding previous expectations.



EUR / USD Technical Levels

EUR / USD



Overview:



    Price Last Today: 1.1341

    Today's Daily Change: -1 pip

    Daily% change today: -0.01%

    Daily Opening Today: 1.1342



Trend:



    Daily SMA20: 1.1406

    Daily SMA50: 1.14

    Daily SMA100: 1,143

    Daily SMA200: 1.1548



Levels:



    Previous Highest Daily: 1.1376

    Previous Daily Low: 1.1324

    Previous Highest Weekly: 1.1516

    Previous Weekly Low: 1,139

    Previous Monthly High: 1.1586

    Previous Monthly Low: 1.1289

    Fibonacci 38.2% Daily: 1.1344

    Fibonacci 61.8% Daily: 1.1356

    S1 Daily Pivot Point: 1.1319

    S2 Daily Pivot Point: 1.1295

    S3 Daily Pivot Point: 1.1266

    Daily Pivot Point R1: 1.1371

    Daily Pivot Point R2: 1.14
    R3 Daily Pivot Point: 1.1424

#49 - February 08, 2019, 05:56:55 AM

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AUD Bullish News: Iron Ore Reaches Highest Since 2014

Iron ore futures jumped more than 5 percent to reach the highest level since 2014 amid fears that the crisis in Vale SA's main miners will create a supply deficit.

Futures surged to a five-year high of $ 94 per ton in Singapore earlier today, representing a 11 percent weekly increase, after rising 14 percent last week, according to Bloomberg.

Iron ore rallies usually bode well for the Australian dollar because metals are one of Australia's main exports.

However, until now, the market has focused on the dovish RBA changes in interest rate guidelines. Therefore, the AUD does not respond to the ore price rally.
#50 - February 08, 2019, 05:58:41 AM

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JPY futures: scope for further gains

Flash data for JPY futures markets from CME Group noted open interest dropped by nearly 2.7K contracts on Thursday from Wednesday’s final 193,014 contracts. Volume, instead, rose for the second session in a row, this time by around 19.5K contracts.
USD/JPY neutral/bearish near term
USD/JPY keeps losing ground in the second half of the week amidst declining open interest and rising volume, leaving the scenario intact for the continuation of the broad consolidative theme while occasional bouts of selling pressure should not be ruled out.


#51 - February 08, 2019, 06:50:14 AM
« Last Edit: April 05, 2019, 11:23:59 AM by Admin »

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Bitcoin Storm That Came Again
 
Bitcoin slides once more and, whereas its recovered from earlier losses, there may be a lot of to come back relying upon the end result of today’s onerous fork.
 
Bitcoin fall down 8.31% on Wednesday, following a 0.19% rise on Tuesday, to end the day at $5,922.4, the day’s loss the largest since an 8.81% slide on 5th September.
 
Another range bound start to the day saw Bitcoin strike a late morning intraday high $6,485.8, falling shy of $6,500 levels and the day’s first major resistance level at $6,507.77. It what was Bitcoin’s last range bounce move of the day and possible of the week, the deadlock between the bulls and the bears broken, with that much undertakes storm being delivered as Bitcoin slid from beginning to end the day’s most important support levels to a late afternoon intraday low and new move to and fro lo $5,678.
 
As you would have thought, the sell-off gathered momentum through the early hours of the afternoon, with stop-loss bounds getting hit across the majors, the new swing lo reaffirming the bearish inclination formed back at early May’s swing hi $9,999.
There was no single news event that throw in to the late morning sell-off that, not only left Bitcoin down in the dumps, but saw the rest of the foremost suffer heavier losses, the cryptomarket’s total market cap sliding to $187.74bn, having been on the edge at around the $210bn mark in recent days.
 
Possibly of greater connotation is the fact that Bitcoin’s dominance failed to rush forward, currently sitting at 52.9%, reflecting the depth of the sell-off that, timing wise, could be featured to uncertainty surrounding today’s Bitcoin Cash hard fork that could distribute a blow to Bitcoin Cash and the broader market should there be no compromise.
 
While Bitcoin made an effort come back to $6,000 levels, with a post sell-off $5,911.4, improbability over the cause of the sell-off and the Bitcoin Cash divergence itself later today will have given the crypto investors reason to pause, with another sell-off on the cards should things not go Bitcoin ABC and Bitmain’s way later in the day.
Bitcoin was surely not the worst performer on the day, with Monero’s XMR sliding by 13.58% and Bitcoin Cash by 13.03%, with only a handful of other crypto majors managing to stay away from double digit failures on the day.
Get Into Cryptocurrency Trading Today
At the time of writing, Bitcoin was down 3.13% to $5,737.1, with moves through the early hours seeing Bitcoin fall from a start of a day morning high $5,940 to a morning low $5,712 before steadying, the day’s foremost support and resistance levels left untested early on.
Somewhere else, things were no better, with Bitcoin Cash, the likely mastermind of this week’s sell-off, down 6.43% at the time of writing, as sentiment towards today’s BCH hard fork continued to strike the majors.
For the day ahead, we can look forward to Bitcoin Cash and the outcome of the hard fork to eventually influence Bitcoin and the broader market, with those having wished for the return of instability to the markets likely to be regretting it.
A move back through the morning high $5,940 to $6,000 levels would provide the markets with some anticipation of a second half of a day bounce back, though we can expect Bitcoin Cash SV and Bitcoin Cash ABC futures price and hash rate chatter to grip the cryptomarket ahead of today’s main event.
I've been suspicious of bitcoin, the trefik is very bad lately. I even discouraged investing in bitcoin
#52 - February 08, 2019, 07:02:37 AM

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Forex Today: Aussie hit by RBA again; Brexit news, Canadian jobs eyed

The Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) downward revision to its growth forecasts in its quarterly Statement of Monetary Policy (SoMP) knocked-off the Aussie dollar across the board, with the AUD/USD having hit fresh five-week lows near 0.7060 region. The bulls were quickly rescued by an uptick in iron-ore prices that prompted the Aussie recovery back to the 0.7080 level. Iron ore futures jumped over 5% to nearly 5 year tops amid supply disruption risks, in the wake of the crisis at Brazil's top miner Vale SA. The Kiwi, on the other hand, traded firmer near daily highs of 0.6757, despite the New Zealand 10-year government bond yield having hit a record low. The USD/JPY pair remained trapped in a narrow range around 109.75 amid softer risk tones, as fresh concerns over the US-China trade issue keep the markets unnerved. Meanwhile, the greenback was better bid across the board amid US-China trade worries that left the pound and common-currency on the back foot heading into the European session.

Among the related markets, the Asian equity markets traded mixed, with the Nikkei 225 index down nearly 2% near 20,300 levels. Gold prices on Comex traded modestly flat below 1315 level, divided between a strong US dollar and risk-off market profile. Both crude benchmarks dropped on global growth and trade concerns while rising US supplies continued to remain a drag.  

#53 - February 08, 2019, 07:04:29 AM

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USD/JPY remains depressed near 109.70 area amid risk-off mood

•  Global growth concerns/US-China trade uncertainties underpin JPY’s safe-haven demand.
  •  Sliding US bond yields offset the recent USD rally and do little to lend any support.
  •  Broader market risk sentiment to act as a key determinant amid absent economic releases.

The USD/JPY pair held on the defensive through the Asian session on Friday, albeit remained well within this week's broader trading range.
Having repeatedly failed to make it through the key 110.00 psychological mark in a decisive manner, the pair struggled to attract any buying interest and remained on the back-foot amid a fresh wave of global risk-aversion trade.
Growing worries about slowing global growth reemerged on Thursday after the European Commission lowered its Euro-zone economic growth forecasts for this year and next and were further compounded amid uncertainties over US-China trade negotiations.
The US President Donald Trump said that he did not plan to meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping before a March 1 deadline to achieve a trade deal and was eventually seen lending some support to the Japanese Yen's relative safe-haven status.
The prevalent risk-off mood also triggered a sharp decline in the US Treasury bond yields, which partly offset the continuation of the recent US Dollar rally to a near two-week high and further collaborated to the pair's subdued/range-bound price action.
In absence of any major market moving economic releases, the broader market risk-sentiment might continue to act as an exclusive driver of the pair's momentum on the last trading day of the week.
Technical levels to watch
Immediate support is pegged near mid-109.00s, below which the pair is likely to accelerate the slide towards 109.20 intermediate support en-route the 109.00 handle. On the flip side, the 110.00 handle remains a key hurdle, which if conquered could assist the pair to aim towards testing 50-day SMA, currently near the 110.55 region.


#54 - February 08, 2019, 07:05:28 AM
« Last Edit: April 05, 2019, 11:24:59 AM by Admin »

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AUD bullish news: Iron ore hits highest since 2014

Iron ore futures surged more than 5 percent to hit the highest level since 2014 on fears that the crisis at top miner Vale SA would create supply deficit. 
Futures jumped to a five-year high of $94 a ton in Singapore earlier today, representing an 11 percent weekly gain, having rallied 14 percent last week, according to Bloomberg. 
Iron ore rally usually bodes well for the Aussie dollar as that metal is one of Australia's top exports. 
However, as of now, markets are focusing on RBA's dovish shift on interest rate guidance. The AUD, therefore, is not responding to the rally in ore prices. 


#55 - February 08, 2019, 07:06:00 AM

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EUR/USD seen testing 1.1265/85 band – UOB

FX Strategists at UOB Group remain neutral on EUR/USD and noted the likeliness of a drop to the 1.1285/65 area in the short-term horizon.
Key Quotes
24-hour view: “EUR dropped to 1.1321 yesterday before recovering slightly. While the underlying tone remains soft and a dip below the 1.1321 low is not ruled out, waning momentum suggests that a clear break of the strong 1.1295 support is unlikely. On the upside, only a move back above 1.1390 would indicate that the current mild downward pressure has eased (minor resistance is at 1.1370)”.
Next 1-3 weeks: “Despite the relatively sharp and rapid drop from last week’s 1.1515 peak, there is no significant improvement in downward momentum. That said, EUR is under mild downward pressure and could drift lower and test the major 1.1265/85 support zone in the coming days. For now, a clear break of these strong levels appears unlikely. Resistance is at 1.1390 but only a move above 1.1420 would indicate the current mild downward pressure has eased”.


#56 - February 08, 2019, 07:08:12 AM

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NZD losing shine: New Zealand 10-year government bond yield hits record low

New Zealand dollar is losing its shine as a "high-yielding" major currency, courtesy of dovish RBNZ expectations and the resulting drop in the bond yields. 
The yield on the benchmark 10-year government bond yield slumped to a record low of 2.11 percent soon before press time. 
New Zealand reported a weaker-than-expected employment numbers yesterday, triggering speculation the Reserve Bank of New Zealand might sound more open to rate cuts at its policy meeting, scheduled for Feb. 13. 


#57 - February 08, 2019, 07:09:49 AM

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Technical Overview of AUD/USD, USD/CAD and USD/JPY Currency Pairs
 
AUD USD
Daily Forex News  in General Forex Discussion_cbpmc-99rwj
 The AUD traded lower against the USD and closed at 0.7100.

 
Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Monetary Policy Statement is published quarterly. It provides explanations to the current monetary policy and description of economic state and inflation prospects.
 
According to the Analysis, The pair is expected to find support at 0.70871, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.70740. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.71152, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.71302.
 
Previous Day range was 28.1 and Current Day Range is 43.3.
 

 USD CAD

Daily Forex News  in General Forex Discussion_cbgqv-s9s9l
 The USD traded higher against the CAD and closed at 1.3307.

 
Canada Employment Change shows a change in the number of officially employed Canadians in the reported month.
 
The indicator is used when measuring Canada's labor market. The indicator growth can have a positive effect on CAD quotes.
 
The pair is expected to find support at 1.32344, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.31619. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.33482, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.33895.
 
USD CAD previous Day range was 113.8 and Current Day Range is 31.
 
USD JPY
Daily Forex News  in General Forex Discussion_cbjn6-4ok27
 The USD traded bit lower against JPY and closed at 109.799.

 
Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Member Speech may contain indications on the possible future changes in the Fed's monetary policy. Committee members participate in interest rate voting, determine appropriate monetary policy measures and assess the risks to long-run goals of price stability and sustainable economic growth.
 
According to the analysis, pair is expected to find support at 109.577, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 109.354. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 110.051, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 110.302.
 
USD JPY previous day range was 4740 and current day range is 1890.


#58 - February 08, 2019, 07:12:47 AM

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AUD/USD consolidates this week’s steep decline to over 1-month lows
  •  RBA cuts its economic growth forecasts and prompts some fresh selling.
   •  Resurfacing US-China trade tensions add to the downward momentum.
   •  Risk-off mood does little to lend any support or ease the bearish pressure.


The AUD/USD pair struggled to register any meaningful recovery and remained within striking distance of over one- month lows, set earlier during the Asian session.
Extended its rejection slide from the very important 200-day SMA, the pair remained under some selling pressure for the fifth session in the previous six and added to this week's hefty losses after the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) lowered the domestic growth forecasts.

Meanwhile, resurfacing US-China trade tensions, coupled with the prevalent risk-off mood further collaborated towards driving flows away from the China-proxy/perceived riskier Australian Dollar and aided the US Dollar to continue strengthening for the sixth straight session. 

However, near-term oversold conditions now seemed to be the only factor that helped ease the bearish pressure, at least for the time being. Nevertheless, the pair remains on track to post its lowest weekly close of 2019 and erase all of the gains posted since early January.

There isn't any major US market moving economic data due for release and hence, the USD price dynamics/broader market risk-sentiment now seem to act as key determinants of the pair's momentum on the last trading day of the week. 

Technical levels to watch
AUD/USD
Overview:
    Today Last Price: 0.7082
    Today Daily change %: -0.30%
    Today Daily Open: 0.7103
Trends:
    Daily SMA20: 0.718
    Daily SMA50: 0.7161
    Daily SMA100: 0.7171
    Daily SMA200: 0.7285
Levels:
    Previous Daily High: 0.712
    Previous Daily Low: 0.7088
    Previous Weekly High: 0.7296
    Previous Weekly Low: 0.7138
    Previous Monthly High: 0.7296
    Previous Monthly Low: 0.6684
    Daily Fibonacci 38.2%: 0.71
    Daily Fibonacci 61.8%: 0.7108
    Daily Pivot Point S1: 0.7087
    Daily Pivot Point S2: 0.7072
    Daily Pivot Point S3: 0.7055
    Daily Pivot Point R1: 0.7119
    Daily Pivot Point R2: 0.7136
    Daily Pivot Point R3: 0.7151






#59 - February 08, 2019, 01:42:00 PM

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EUR/USD recovery stalled ahead of 1.1350

  • Spot has managed to bounce off session lows near 1.1320.
  • Further correction lower drags DXY to the 96.55/50 band.
  • Talks of US tariffs on EU autos appear to be back.
Some selling pressure in the greenback is now helping EUR/USD to abandon the area of daily lows near 1.1320 and refocus instead on the 1.1350 region.

EUR/USD looks to risk trends, trade talks
Risk Apettite 
trends are closely follow renewed concerns on the US-China trade dispute after President Trump ruled out a meeting with China’s Xi Jinping before the March 1 deadline. Still on the trade issue, US has once again warned the EU about the likely imposition of tariffs on autos.

The greenback, in the meantime, appears to have met a tough resistance around the 96.70 region and is no receding some ground for the first time after six consecutive daily advances.
Earlier in the session, the German trade surplus widened more than expected during December (€19.4 billion).
What to look for around EUR/USD
The extent and duration of the slowdown in Euroland continues to be in centre stage following recent figures from Q4 GDP in the region, the persistent negative streak from German fundamentals and the recently published EC forecasts, where both economic growth and inflation were revised lower for the current year. On the political scenario, May’s EU parliamentary elections should start to gather relevance with the days, paying special attention to the potential advance of populism in the region.
EUR/USD levels to watch
At the moment, the pair is losing 0.01% at 1.1339 and a break below 1.1324 (low Feb.7) would aim for 1.1289 (2019 low Jan.24) en route to 1.1269 (monthly low Dec.14 2018). On the other hand, the next hurdle emerges at 1.1389 (55-day SMA) seconded by 1.1429 (100-day SMA) and finally 1.1442 (38.2% Fibo of the September-November drop).



#60 - February 08, 2019, 01:48:40 PM

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