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LOLEK 555 - trading journal, live trades (not signals)

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Lolek555

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eurusd trade already on BE before US session. DXY is weaker but until the SP500 won;t brake above 3147 then the further weakness on dollar is limited (96.5 key level). 
#46 - July 10, 2020, 11:40:42 AM
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Lolek555

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and finished on breakeven. this 3 hours of rising in eur and 1 hour negating previous is not a good sign for the upside. still sellers are holding strong , SP500 lower too, almost at the lows.  
#47 - July 10, 2020, 12:05:40 PM

Lolek555

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i ended this week on minus. overall analysis were good but wrong execution and timing by me. 

Markets end the week in mixed view , Bonds off the highs gave fuel to SP500  which closed on weekly highs. DXY mixed below weekly open but without direction (just look at EURUSD.. )  . ViX is ending below weekly open and on the lows.
bitcoin gave me the best trades overall but other trades took these profits.

#48 - July 10, 2020, 08:23:53 PM
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Lolek555

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After a break (from trading and overall break) 
i will continue to update this journal. 

today;s trades: 

EURUSD short from 1.1630 and 1.1655 - open (will see after weekend)  
Shot BTCUsdt from 9593.. 
#49 - July 24, 2020, 10:41:33 PM

Lolek555

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few thoughts about recent market situation:

from last few days there is significant breakdown in correlation between DX and US stock indexes (mainly Sp500) ,also dollar's breaking huge to the dowside so i see this as a change in main market flow . Bonds are drifting above weekly open but without direction.
so what next for stock markets and dollar? i have no clue :D  i will closely watch on Monday what wiil happen first:
- SP500 will catch a bid and will use the situation of weak dollar to rise .
- or DX will catch a little bid and Sp500 will continue further down move.

VIX also in strange situation because it ended week lower the same as Sp500 but almost around weekly open..
#50 - July 24, 2020, 11:15:13 PM
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« Last Edit: July 24, 2020, 11:17:21 PM by Lolek555 »

Lolek555

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BTCUSDT stopped out at 9670. 

Short again 9691
#51 - July 25, 2020, 08:25:37 PM

Lolek555

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btcusdt stopped out on 9770 . no shorts until the price come back under 9700 , maybe i will be buying around 9700
#52 - July 26, 2020, 01:01:47 PM

Lolek555

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FX weekend prices dollar still weaker and weaker, not good for my EURUSD short , probably will gap up but will try to manage this maybe will short more after open/.
#53 - July 26, 2020, 02:14:44 PM
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Lolek555

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few thoughts from Ray Dalio about US dollar and China "war" (capital war).. interesting view about bonds too.
#54 - July 26, 2020, 08:43:15 PM
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Lolek555

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considering all my weekend's analysis i made plus very attractive prices on few Indexes like SP 500 , Nasdaq 100 and DJ30 i will buy little positions on these indexes in the first hour of trading. here is also Goldman Sachs sentiment  indicator which suggests we are not there yet ( on the TOP) ... 
EURUSD not adding nothing to my current positions because it gapped lower around 12 pips from Friday close..
#55 - July 26, 2020, 09:05:08 PM
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Lolek555

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to be more precise about my recent EURUSD postion: I am targeting the 1.1579-89 zone or lower  1.1539  with stops above 1.1688 . i  don't see a change in main trend , this is the correction  to the levels where i'll consider any buying. 

#56 - July 26, 2020, 09:16:08 PM
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Lolek555

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so far nothing new , the same weak dollar , weak indexes, weak vix story... i will wait more before any buying of SP 500 or other index, until Tokyo or even London. maybe 3190 on SP500 will be tested.
#57 - July 26, 2020, 10:33:12 PM

Lolek555

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selling the golden bubble with 5 dollar stop at 1922 . not big  position but maybe will add some more. 
#58 - July 27, 2020, 12:26:19 AM
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Lolek555

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ok what i see now after this 2 hours since the open..

1. Bonds are in very weak uptrend , it doesn;t look like a healthy uptrend..
2. SP 500 is starting to bottom and VIX is finally following.
3. USDJPY trying to reverse despite the overall DXY weakness.
4. 3-4 pips more and i will be stopped out from my EURUSD short from friday and not adding to it.

it is hard situation to figure out all this markets now but i feel like Gold is a bubble , EUR too and will try to buy indexes. will see tomorrow how to play out all of this...


#59 - July 27, 2020, 12:43:40 AM
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Lolek555

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EURUSD short - stopped at 1.1688 , not adding because i have  short on gold and now all is heading in one direction.. 
so i see the possibility of dollar flash crash too when i look at USDCHF , USDJPY, EURUSD it could easily run for fast 200 pips or more clearing the whole market ... this is the risk here.
#60 - July 27, 2020, 01:35:53 AM
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